Gorton and Denton byelection campaign hits final day with new poll saying it is too close to call who will win – UK politics live

Opinium poll says it is ‘incredibly tight’ between Reform UK, Greens and Labour and all have a credible chance of winning There have actually been three polls published from Gorton and Denton but the first one, a Find Out Now one, has been mostly ignored because it only had a sample size of 143 (too small to take seriously) and the company says it was not involved in the decision to release the figures to the media. But, for the record, here is a chart with all three sets of polling results.In the light of today’s Gorton and Denton polling (see 9.11am), it is worth remembering what Philip Cowley, another politics professor, describes as his law of byelection analysis.I feel Thursday could be a test of Cowley’s Law of By-Election Analysis: that too much attention is paid to who wins.Also, Cowley’s rarely used Supplementary Law of By-Election Analysis: too much attention